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Map predicting spread of avian flu
04-18-2007 · EurekAlert!Boender and colleagues examine data from the 2003 outbreak of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in the Netherlands and produce a model which can predict the probability of infection from one farm to another: the "transmission kernel." They also identify high-risk areas in the Netherlands and analyze various control strategies, concluding that in these regions an epidemic can only be brought to an end by massive culling of susceptible farms.
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Keywords: map, predicting, spread, avian, flu
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04-30-2007 · EurekAlert!
Scientists here have designed a new, interactive map of the spread of the avian flu virus (H5N1) that for the first time incorporates genetic, geographic and evolutionary information that may help predict where the next outbreak of the virus is likely to occur. In the process, they also tested hypotheses about the nature of specific strains of the virus that appear to be heading westward and have the ability to infect humans.
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11-15-2006 · EurekAlert!
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